Search for: All records

Abstract We investigate the occurrence patterns of SSEs along the shallow (15 km) portion of the Hikurangi subduction zone. First, we build a manual catalog constraining timing and length of 92 SSEs between 2006 and 2024. Then, we investigate SSE occurrence patterns by fitting a renewal process, using Bayesian inference to obtain the posterior distribution of model parameters. Our results show that SSE recurrence intervals vary along the Hikurangi margin; less frequent SSEs occur in the southern part of the margin. The periodicity of SSEs also changes along strike. SSEs in the northern part of the margin occur more regularly than those at the central part. Finally, we do not find conclusive evidence that 2016 7.8 Kaikōura earthquake had a lasting effect on SSE occurrence patterns. 

Key Points Periodic pore fluid pressure perturbations on a rate‐strengthening fault induce slow slip events (SSEs) Source properties of induced SSEs vary with perturbation characteristics (length scale, amplitude, period) Model reproduces source properties of shallow Hikurangi SSEs, and duration and magnitude of SSEs in different subduction zones 

ABSTRACT Numerical modeling of earthquake dynamics and derived insight for seismic hazard relies on credible, reproducible model results. The sequences of earthquakes and aseismic slip (SEAS) initiative has set out to facilitate community code comparisons, and verify and advance the next generation of physics-based earthquake models that reproduce all phases of the seismic cycle. With the goal of advancing SEAS models to robustly incorporate physical and geometrical complexities, here we present code comparison results from two new benchmark problems: BP1-FD considers full elastodynamic effects, and BP3-QD considers dipping fault geometries. Seven and eight modeling groups participated in BP1-FD and BP3-QD, respectively, allowing us to explore these physical ingredients across multiple codes and better understand associated numerical considerations. With new comparison metrics, we find that numerical resolution and computational domain size are critical parameters to obtain matching results. Codes for BP1-FD implement different criteria for switching between quasi-static and dynamic solvers, which require tuning to obtain matching results. In BP3-QD, proper remote boundary conditions consistent with specified rigid body translation are required to obtain matching surface displacements. With these numerical and mathematical issues resolved, we obtain excellent quantitative agreements among codes in earthquake interevent times, event moments, and coseismic slip, with reasonable agreements made in peak slip rates and rupture arrival time. We find that including full inertial effects generates events with larger slip rates and rupture speeds compared to the quasi-dynamic counterpart. For BP3-QD, both dip angle and sense of motion (thrust versus normal faulting) alter ground motion on the hanging and foot walls, and influence event patterns, with some sequences exhibiting similar-size characteristic earthquakes, and others exhibiting different-size events. These findings underscore the importance of considering full elastodynamics and nonvertical dip angles in SEAS models, as both influence short- and long-term earthquake behavior and are relevant to seismic hazard.